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By Kyle Prast
Friday, Oct 24 2008, 09:44 AM
Tuesday I got a tank full of gas for $2.69 a gallon. Sure wish gas prices were that low in August when we went to Yellowstone! Our trip cost us $549 in gasoline for 3,188 miles. If we made that trip now, we would have saved about $200. (Of course, Old Faithful Lodge is now closed for the winter season.) The U.S dollar ended stronger than usual. One US dollar will now purchase $1.26 in Canada, .62 Pounds, and .78 Euros. Oil sunk to the $63 to $69 / barrel range this week. Less than half of what it was priced at its high. Since oil is priced in dollars, the stronger dollar makes the price/barrel go down. OPEC is likely to try tightening the supply in an effort to boost the price. Wouldn't it be great if OPEC's decrease in production didn't matter? The Congressional Democrats do not favor domestic drilling. Remember the Trojan Drilling Bill? Obama doesn't either. Republicans and McCain are in favor of drilling more offshore, utilizing oil shale, and "All of the above." Think about that when you hit the voting booth. Post Script: Right on schedule, OPEC agrees sharp output cut "An emergency OPEC meeting on Friday reached swift agreement to chop
production by 1.5 million barrels per day (bpd) in an effort to halt a
deep oil price slide." Well, oil priced in the $60s was nice while it lasted. Please, comment content should relate to the subject of the post. Although I try to respond to many, do not interpret my lack of a response as agreement.
Links:
Brookfield7, Fairly Conservative, Betterbrookfield, Jay Weber, Mark Levin, Vicki Mckenna
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By Kyle Prast
Tuesday, Sep 23 2008, 08:54 AM
The Democrats present the Trojan Drilling Bill, the stock market is in major jitters, investors look for safe places to put their money. Hence oil, gold/silver/precious metals go up. Pretty simple. With the Democrat's no-drill oil bill, prohibiting drilling in most areas, there will be little change in our domestic oil supply. If we don't get a real Drill Here bill, we will be dependent on foreign oil for years and paying higher prices. It is supply and demand...the price will go up. Anyone wondering if the Democrats are trying to create such an oil price crisis that the government must come in and take that industry over too? I am hard pressed to explain the Democrat's stance any other way.
The other factor involved in precious metal and oil price increases is the fall of the dollar. It had been improving since about July. But the Freddie and Fannie / financials bail outs cause the United States to expand the money supply. That is inflationary, resulting in the value of the individual dollar to fall. Again, it is supply and demand. From the Financial Times: The Short View: Oil and the Dollar: By late morning in New York on Monday, the price of oil had climbed
by 20 per cent in barely five days and scarcely anyone had noticed.
Then it went into overdrive, hitting $130 at one point before settling
at $120.92. Last Tuesday, it traded at $90.51 – a swing of 44 per cent
from bottom to top. This had little to do with the supply of
and demand for oil and everything to do with the fallout from the
“Paulson plan” – the proposal to risk $700bn of US public money in a
bail-out of toxic securities held by banks.
Oil rose as doubts surfaced about the plan.
When people are nervous, they look for tangible products to invest in. A key variable is the dollar. So far, it has fallen in response to
the possible huge rise in the US deficit. The markets seem to have gone
a step further and assumed that this step will be be inflationary and
cause financial assets to lose value. In that situation, the
thing to do was to head for real assets, led by oil, although other
commodities, led by silver, also had a strong day. Unfortunately for
the Paulson plan, the inverse relationship between oil and the dollar
is one of the few financial constants to have survived the past few
days.
I heard this morning that oil settled down to about $108/barrel in Asia. People are nervous worldwide. The US money supply is expanded beyond thin. The last thing we need is another check writing spree by the government in the form of a Democrat 2nd $50billion stimulus package or a $1,000 energy rebate based on a windfall profit tax to oil companies as Obama is touting. (That tax would be passed onto consumers, making oil prices higher.) Even the Federal Government can only print so much money if it is to be worth more than the paper it is printed on! Brookfield District 7 Info meeting, Wed., Sept. 24, 2-3pm or 6:30-7:30pm City
Clerk Kris Schmidt will be in attendance to answer questions or concerns
regarding recent news about the Van Hollen lawsuit against the state elections
authority.
Please, comment content should relate to the subject of the post. Although I try to respond to many, do not interpret my lack of a response as agreement.
Links:
Brookfield7, Fairly Conservative, Betterbrookfield, Mark Levin, Vicki Mckenna
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By Kyle Prast
Wednesday, Sep 10 2008, 11:35 AM
Have you noticed that the mood of the country has changed regarding energy?
Last year, THE solution was all about growing our own energy by using ethanol. The emphasis was on reducing our carbon footprint and dependence on foreign oil, regardless of the cost.
But rising food prices and the fact that ethanol was a boondoggle (using as much energy as it supplied) caused ethanol's reign to slip from political popularity.
Then came Newt with his Drill Here.Drill Now.Pay Less. campaign. While I am surprised that he never did get those 3 million petition signers, he certainly started the conversation that we must start producing more oil domestically.
It was a conversation the President and House Republicans were willing to listen to. Nancy Pelosi and the House Democrats, however, were not. In fact, she shut down the House for 5 weeks!
During that 5 weeks off, around 130 House Republicans kept the heat on the discussion in the House. See YouTube
Also during the summer, the polls started showing that 67% of Americans favored domestic drilling.
John McCain responded to that fact by embracing offshore drilling. Certainly his picking Palin indicates he is looking at domestic oil and increasing natural gas. The Republican ticket has an "All of the above" approach. (Oil, clean coal, natural gas, tidal, hydro, hydrogen, geo-thermal, nuclear, wind, solar, etc.)
Barack Obama wouldn't go that far, but did promote getting off foreign oil dependence by increasing clean coal, natural gas, and safe nuclear as additions to the usual wind, solar, etc.
But while all this new domestic energy posturing was going on, Pelosi and the House Democrats were not available until this week. On Monday:
"House Majority Leader Steny Hoyer (D-Md.) said Monday morning
that the newest Democratic energy bill will be brought to the floor
under normal rules and will be subject to a vote on a Republican
alternative that is likely to call for even more drilling than
Democrats are prepared to swallow.
So finally, she and the House Democrats are willing to allow a vote on drilling!
"Pelosi miscalculated in her heavy-handed tactics before the recess.
She attempted to push through her own plan under suspension of the
rules, a tactic she decried in 2006, which kept Republicans from
offering an alternative. When it failed, she adjourned Congress,
hoping to put off the debate until after the conventions … and her book
tour.
"Instead of regrouping, the Democrats found themselves routed by an
angry electorate and motivated Republicans. The House Oil Party kept
the issue in the media eye, at least to an extent, but high gas prices
kept it on the minds of voters while Democrats took their summer
vacation. It was as poor a political calculation seen in recent years,
and the sudden shift in generic Congressional ballots and in party
identification has been the result.
"Pelosi and Harry Reid may have finally figured out that they could
lose this election on energy policy. Will this be enough to stanch the
bleeding? (My emphasis)
This vote would have never happened without public pressure. We tend to forget that fact. But don't jump for joy just yet.
The next hurdle will be, what kind of energy bill gets passed? Will it be a real energy bill that truly increases drilling opportunities and new energy sources? Or will it be just all show and no go? as a token attempt by Democrat Congressmen and Senators up for reelection to appear sympathetic to energy prices?
But House Republicans called the Democrats' proposals "gimmicks," and
instead have insisted on a stand-alone vote on oil drilling.
"Speaker Pelosi's so-called 'energy' bill will do nothing to help
our energy crisis," said Rep. Michele Bachmann, Minnesota Republican.
"It will multiply red tape and make it almost impossible to lower
already skyrocketing oil costs." (My emphasis)
Stay tuned!
Please, comment content should relate to the subject of the post.
Links:
Brookfield7, Fairly Conservative, Betterbrookfield, Mark Levin, Vicki Mckenna
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By Kyle Prast
Tuesday, Jun 3 2008, 01:04 PM
Last night I heard Senator Inhofe (R-Oklahoma) on the Mark Levin Show. They were discussing S. 2191, the Senate "Lieberman/Warner Global Warming Bill and the disastrous effect this would have not on just the country as a whole, but the individual." (My emphasis throughout post.) Wall Street Journal referred to Cap-and-Trade as Cap and Spend
As the Senate opens debate on its mammoth carbon regulation program
this week, the phrase of the hour is "cap and trade." This sounds
innocuous enough. But anyone who looks at the legislative details will
quickly see that a better description is cap and spend. This is easily
the largest income redistribution scheme since the income tax.
The Washington Post said, Just Call It "Cap-and-Tax" "...One of the bad ways [to control greenhouse gas] is cap-and-trade. Unfortunately, it's the darling of environmental groups and their political allies. The
chief political virtue of cap-and-trade -- a complex scheme to reduce
greenhouse gases -- is its complexity. This allows its environmental
supporters to shape public perceptions in essentially deceptive ways.
Cap-and-trade would act as a tax, but it's not described as a tax. It
would regulate economic activity, but it's promoted as a "free market"
mechanism. Finally, it would trigger a tidal wave of
influence-peddling, as lobbyists scrambled to exploit the system for
different industries and localities. This would undermine whatever
abstract advantages the system has. ...Call this "environmental pork," and it would just be a start. The
program's potential to confer subsidies and preferential treatment
would stimulate a lobbying frenzy. Think of today's farm programs --
and multiply by 10.
After listening to Senator Inhofe, I think we could also refer to it as Cap-and-Raid! If it passes, it will raid every worker in America's wallet! Senator Inhofe said, Senator Barbara Boxer insists this is not a tax bill. But if you have looked into the bill itself and at the linked articles, it is difficult to understand how this could not be considered a tax bill. Inhofe then quickly listed some points to ponder. He mentioned the Wall Street Journal referring to it as the most extensive reorganization since the 1930s. He called it worse than the Kyoto Treaty for the economy. Cap-and-Trade will need 45 more Big Government Bureaucracies to enforce the standards. Using Boxer's figures, Inhofe pointed out that Cap-and-Trade would collect $6.7 Trillion dollars from industry (those costs will be passed onto us!). The maximum rebate to customers is $2.5 Trillion dollars. Do the math: That means $4.2 Trillion goes where? That sounds like a tax to me! He went on to remind us that the Democrats have killed every domestic drilling bill. The US relies on coal for 53% of all of its electricity production. Cap-and-Trade will tax coal fired electricity production. Consider that China "cranks out a new coal electric plant" every 3 days (?). (I think he said 3 days, which fits with this - certainly between India and China it would be true.) Manufacturing jobs will go where there is (cheap) energy/power, Inhofe said. This is also what Congressman Sensenbrenner talked about at his Town Hall Meeting when he called Cap-and-Trade "Catastrophic for Wisconsin". I would add that manufacturing jobs will also go where environmental regulations are more lax. Senator Inhofe suggested people take a look at Liberman-Warner Opposition Resource Center; Impacts of Costly Climate Bill Exposed It is chock full of quotes, links and articles.
The Senate is debating this bill this week. While some say the bill will not pass, as you know, once the foot is in the door, the issue will not go away. Considering all 3 Presidential candidates support the concept of Global Warming, I would just say, the bill probably won't pass...yet. Our Senators' response to my emails: Not much hope of a NO vote here--unless they feel the heat from constituents. This is important! Please contact them both: Senator Kohl (Phone: (414) 297-4451, (202) 224-5653) and Senator Feingold (Office
of Senator Russ Feingold | 202/224-5323) and let them know what you think about this bill.
More reading: George Will's Cap-And-Trade: A Devious Tax Plan Good chart of key players and terms explained at end: Senate taking up key climate-change bill The Heritage Foundation's Morning Bell: Carbon Capping in Bizarro World Links:
Brookfield7, Fairly Conservative, Betterbrookfield, Mark Levin , Vicki Mckenna
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